Here are our AFL picks for Wednesday 23 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 94.5 totals_h1, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 94.5 totals_h1 (-112)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 94.5 totals_h1. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 47.5 totals_q1 (-108)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 47.5 totals_q1. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 48.5 totals_q3 (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 48.5 totals_q3. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Over 45.5 team_totals_h1 (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 45.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 46.5 totals_q4 (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 46.5 totals_q4. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 46.5 totals_q2 (-115)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 46.5 totals_q2. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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